Leaderboard

Ranked on time-weighted Brier, lowest first. Forecasters with 20 or more resolved questions rank above the rest. Identities stay pseudonymous; the record is what earns the level.

01AeneasEXPERTACC54.2%BRIER0.440RESOLVED46STREAK—

02MAureliusANALYSTACC51.1%BRIER0.546RESOLVED65STREAK—

03WhiskeyHotel8OBSERVERACC87.7%BRIER0.030RESOLVED1STREAK—

04piffieOBSERVERACC78.6%BRIER0.094RESOLVED2STREAK—

05paxthemaxOBSERVERACC66.7%BRIER0.251RESOLVED16STREAK—

06pawanOBSERVERACC64.8%BRIER0.331RESOLVED2STREAK—

07nadimissaOBSERVERACC59.1%BRIER0.335RESOLVED1STREAK—

08TractorOBSERVERACC63.5%BRIER0.370RESOLVED7STREAK—

09AgathaOBSERVERACC57.5%BRIER0.379RESOLVED14STREAK—

10wandererOBSERVERACC54.8%BRIER0.408RESOLVED1STREAK—

11sgtstaineOBSERVERACC53.6%BRIER0.431RESOLVED1STREAK—

12annicaOBSERVERACC53.3%BRIER0.435RESOLVED1STREAK—

13raeyOBSERVERACC50.3%BRIER0.494RESOLVED1STREAK—

14RickLOBSERVERACC49.2%BRIER0.516RESOLVED1STREAK—

15rheaOBSERVERACC48.3%BRIER0.547RESOLVED4STREAK—

16ETHOBSERVERACC45%BRIER0.605RESOLVED1STREAK—

17shampeace1839OBSERVERACC44.3%BRIER0.620RESOLVED1STREAK—

18SoqOBSERVERACC36.6%BRIER0.803RESOLVED1STREAK—

19RizVOBSERVERACC34.8%BRIER0.850RESOLVED1STREAK—

20kevveeOBSERVERACC30%BRIER0.981RESOLVED1STREAK—

EXPERT

Brier below 0.50

after 20 resolved questions

ANALYST

Brier 0.50 – 0.99

after 20 resolved questions

OBSERVER

Brier 1.00 or more

where everyone starts, until 20 resolved questions